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Regional Energy 2050: A sustainability-oriented strategic backcasting methodology for local utilities

Nicolai Herrmann

 

Verlag Rainer Hampp Verlag, 2010

ISBN 9783866187023 , 329 Seiten

Format PDF, OL

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Preface

6

Acknowledgement

7

Overview

8

Table of contents

9

Abstract

14

Summary

15

1 Introduction and definitions

21

1.1 Problem statement and motivation

21

1.2 Derivation of research questions

27

1.3 Initial assumptions and definitions

29

1.4 Sustainability Sustainability definition and adaptation for the energy sector

41

1.5 Summary and conclusion for chapter one

61

2 Sustainability and business strategy

62

2.1 Perspectives on corporate economic and environmental performance

62

2.2 Definition of a strategic development corridor for corporations

70

2.3 Strategic necessity of corporate sustainability-orientation

79

2.4 Summary and conclusion for chapter two

90

3 Future studies and business strategy

92

3.1 Introduction to future studies

92

3.2 History and state of the art of backcasting

106

3.3 Strategic backcasting and other strategy schools

113

3.4 Arguments for a novel backcasting methodology for local utilities

124

3.5 Summary and conclusion for chapter three

126

4 A novel strategic backcasting methodology for local utilities

128

4.1 Definition of criteria and targets for a sustainable future energy system

131

4.2 Description of a regional target scenario

138

4.3 Analysis of status quo

146

4.4 Derivation of external crossroads and internal milestones

154

4.5 Identification of a strategic development pathway

193

4.6 Summary and conclusion for the methodological section

205

5 Case study study sample application of strategic backcasting

207

5.1 Step 1: Definition of criteria and targets for the future energy system

209

5.2 Step 2: Description of a regional target scenario

229

5.3 Step 3: Description of the status quo

240

5.4 Step 4: External crossroads and internal milestones

262

5.5 Step 5: Identification of a strategic development pathway

283

5.6 Summary and conclusion for the case study

291

6 Critical assessment and conclusions

293

6.1 Lessons learned from the case study

293

6.2 Critical reflection of the strategic backcasting methodology

301

6.3 Further research needs

304

6.4 Summary and conclusion for chapter six

307

List of figures

309

List of tables

312

Reference list

314