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EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration
Martin Kahanec, Klaus F. Zimmermann
Verlag Springer-Verlag, 2009
ISBN 9783642022425 , 344 Seiten
Format PDF
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EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration
3
Preface
5
Contents
6
Part I: EU Enlargement and the Labor Markets: What Do We Know?
8
1. Lessons from Migration after EU Enlargement
9
1 Introduction
10
2 Theoretical Framework:Causes and Impacts of Migration
12
3 Post-Enlargement Migration
15
a. Actual Migration Trends and Trajectories
15
b. The Source Country Perspective
23
c. Who Migrated, and How Do They Fare?
25
4 The Impact of Post-Enlargement Migration Flows: First Evidence
32
a. The Destination Countries
32
b. The Source Countries
38
5 The Current Economic Crisis
44
6 Conclusions
45
References
48
2. Labor Mobility in the Enlarged EU: Who Wins, Who Loses?
52
1 Introduction
53
2 The Scale and Structure of Migration and Migration Scenarios
55
2.1 The Scale of Migration
55
2.2 The Structure of Migration
57
2.3 Migration Scenarios
58
3 Outline of the Models
59
3.1 A Structural Model with Wage Rigidities
60
3.2 Sketch of the CGE Model
62
4 Presentation of the Simulation Results
63
4.1 The Structural Impact on Labor Markets and Income Distribution
63
4.2 The Sectoral Impact of Migration from the EU8 into the EU15
67
6 Conclusions
71
References
74
3. Post-Enlargement Migration and Public Perception in the European Union
76
1 Introduction
77
2 Migration and Public Perception – Insights from Beutin et al. (2007)
78
2.1 Analyzed Areas
79
2.2 Results
80
3 The Role of Public Perception in Policy-Making
81
3.1 Public Perception and Social Disorganization Theory
82
4 Emerging Indications of a More Nuanced Public Perception on Migration
83
5 Public Perception and the Veil
89
5.1 When the Veil Makes Headlines
89
5.2 Facts and Figures about Islam and Public Perceptions
90
5.3 The Situation in Some Member States
91
5.4 The Stakes of the “Veil Controversy”
93
5.5 Results
98
6 Poles in the UK
99
6.1 Labor Mobility Following the Recent Enlargements
99
6.2 General State of Public Perception towards Migration in the UK
101
6.3 Public Perception towards Poles
102
6.4 Interaction between Policy and Public Perception
104
7 The Securitization of Roma Migration in Italy
105
7.1 Public Perception and the Roma in Italy
106
7.2 The Securitization of Roma Migration since November 2007: Interaction between Perceptions and Policies
107
7.3 Results
108
8 Conclusions
109
References
110
Part II: The Impact of Migration on Destination Labor Markets
113
4. EU Enlargement under Continued Mobility Restrictions: Consequences for the German Labor Market
114
1 Introduction
115
2 The Legal Framework
116
3 Migration Movement and Background of People from EU8 Countries
117
4 Descriptive Statistics
120
5 Empirical Analysis
126
6 Conclusions and Policy Recommendations
130
References
132
5. The Experience of Spain with the Inflows of New Labor Migrants
133
1 Introduction
134
2 Main Characteristics of New EU12 Immigrants in Spain
135
3 Labor Market Situation of New EU12 Immigrants Compared to Similarly Skilled Natives
139
4 Labor Market Assimilation of New EU12 Immigrants Compared to Similarly Skilled Natives and Other Immigrants
141
5 What Have We Learnt? Summary and Policy Conclusions
144
References
146
6. EU Enlargement and Ireland’s Labor Market
147
1 Introduction
148
2 The Size of the Inflow
148
3 The Characteristics and Experiences of the Inflow
154
4 The Impacts of the EU10 Inflow
158
5 Conclusions
160
References
163
7. Post-Enlargement Migration and Labor Market Impact in Sweden
164
1 Introduction¹
165
2 The Development of Immigration to Sweden from the New EU Member Countries³
165
3 The New Immigrants and the Labor Market
168
4 Conclusions
178
References
180
8. The Impact of the Recent Expansion of the EU on the UK Labor Market
181
1 Introduction
182
2 How Many EU10 Workers Have Arrived and How Many Have Returned?
183
3 What are the Characteristics of EU10 Workers?
187
3.1 Propensity to Work
189
3.2 Incidence of Self-Employment
190
3.3 Usual Working Hours
191
3.4 Wages and Union Membership
191
4 Why Did EU10 Workers Come to the UK?
192
4.1 Job Satisfaction
193
4.2 Life Satisfaction
196
4.3 Macro-Economy
199
4.4 Propensity to Move Abroad
199
5 What Impact Have EU10 Workers Had on the UK Labor Market?
202
6 Will the Flow of EU10 Workers to the UK Continue in the Future?
208
7 Conclusions
212
References
214
Part III: The Impact of Migration on Source Labor Markets
216
9. Impact of the Post-Accession Migration on the Polish Labor Market
217
1 Introduction
218
2 EU Enlargement and Migration from Poland
218
2.1 Scale and Dynamics of Recent Migration from Poland
220
2.2 Structural Features of Polish Migration in the Pre- and Post-Accession Period
224
3 Impacts of Migration on the Polish Labor Market
235
4 Conclusions
247
References
250
10. The Post-Enlargement Migration Experience in the Baltic Labor Markets
252
1 Introduction
253
2 Data
255
3 Intensity and Main Destinations of the Post-Enlargement Migration
257
4 Human Capital of the Migrants
263
5 Labor Market Outcomes
270
6 Length of Stay Abroad, Return Migration and Labor Market Transitions
279
7 Migration Impact on the Baltic Labor Markets and Economies
283
8 Demographics of the Baltic Migration
287
9 Remittances and Use of Foreign Earnings
292
10 Conclusions
295
References
298
11. The Case of Albania
302
1 Documenting the Importance
303
2 Push and Pull Factors
303
3 Patterns and Outliers
304
4 Estimates of Migrant Outflows, Return Flows and Stock Abroad over Time
305
5 Estimates of Remittances
308
6 Data Sources Used in Previous Studies
309
7 Composition of Migrants
312
8 Potential Migration
320
9 Impacts of Migration
321
10 Analysis, Trends and Policy Recommendations
326
References
329
Editors and Authors
332
Index
340