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EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration

EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration

Martin Kahanec, Klaus F. Zimmermann

 

Verlag Springer-Verlag, 2009

ISBN 9783642022425 , 344 Seiten

Format PDF

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EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration

3

Preface

5

Contents

6

Part I: EU Enlargement and the Labor Markets: What Do We Know?

8

1. Lessons from Migration after EU Enlargement

9

1 Introduction

10

2 Theoretical Framework:Causes and Impacts of Migration

12

3 Post-Enlargement Migration

15

a. Actual Migration Trends and Trajectories

15

b. The Source Country Perspective

23

c. Who Migrated, and How Do They Fare?

25

4 The Impact of Post-Enlargement Migration Flows: First Evidence

32

a. The Destination Countries

32

b. The Source Countries

38

5 The Current Economic Crisis

44

6 Conclusions

45

References

48

2. Labor Mobility in the Enlarged EU: Who Wins, Who Loses?

52

1 Introduction

53

2 The Scale and Structure of Migration and Migration Scenarios

55

2.1 The Scale of Migration

55

2.2 The Structure of Migration

57

2.3 Migration Scenarios

58

3 Outline of the Models

59

3.1 A Structural Model with Wage Rigidities

60

3.2 Sketch of the CGE Model

62

4 Presentation of the Simulation Results

63

4.1 The Structural Impact on Labor Markets and Income Distribution

63

4.2 The Sectoral Impact of Migration from the EU8 into the EU15

67

6 Conclusions

71

References

74

3. Post-Enlargement Migration and Public Perception in the European Union

76

1 Introduction

77

2 Migration and Public Perception – Insights from Beutin et al. (2007)

78

2.1 Analyzed Areas

79

2.2 Results

80

3 The Role of Public Perception in Policy-Making

81

3.1 Public Perception and Social Disorganization Theory

82

4 Emerging Indications of a More Nuanced Public Perception on Migration

83

5 Public Perception and the Veil

89

5.1 When the Veil Makes Headlines

89

5.2 Facts and Figures about Islam and Public Perceptions

90

5.3 The Situation in Some Member States

91

5.4 The Stakes of the “Veil Controversy”

93

5.5 Results

98

6 Poles in the UK

99

6.1 Labor Mobility Following the Recent Enlargements

99

6.2 General State of Public Perception towards Migration in the UK

101

6.3 Public Perception towards Poles

102

6.4 Interaction between Policy and Public Perception

104

7 The Securitization of Roma Migration in Italy

105

7.1 Public Perception and the Roma in Italy

106

7.2 The Securitization of Roma Migration since November 2007: Interaction between Perceptions and Policies

107

7.3 Results

108

8 Conclusions

109

References

110

Part II: The Impact of Migration on Destination Labor Markets

113

4. EU Enlargement under Continued Mobility Restrictions: Consequences for the German Labor Market

114

1 Introduction

115

2 The Legal Framework

116

3 Migration Movement and Background of People from EU8 Countries

117

4 Descriptive Statistics

120

5 Empirical Analysis

126

6 Conclusions and Policy Recommendations

130

References

132

5. The Experience of Spain with the Inflows of New Labor Migrants

133

1 Introduction

134

2 Main Characteristics of New EU12 Immigrants in Spain

135

3 Labor Market Situation of New EU12 Immigrants Compared to Similarly Skilled Natives

139

4 Labor Market Assimilation of New EU12 Immigrants Compared to Similarly Skilled Natives and Other Immigrants

141

5 What Have We Learnt? Summary and Policy Conclusions

144

References

146

6. EU Enlargement and Ireland’s Labor Market

147

1 Introduction

148

2 The Size of the Inflow

148

3 The Characteristics and Experiences of the Inflow

154

4 The Impacts of the EU10 Inflow

158

5 Conclusions

160

References

163

7. Post-Enlargement Migration and Labor Market Impact in Sweden

164

1 Introduction¹

165

2 The Development of Immigration to Sweden from the New EU Member Countries³

165

3 The New Immigrants and the Labor Market

168

4 Conclusions

178

References

180

8. The Impact of the Recent Expansion of the EU on the UK Labor Market

181

1 Introduction

182

2 How Many EU10 Workers Have Arrived and How Many Have Returned?

183

3 What are the Characteristics of EU10 Workers?

187

3.1 Propensity to Work

189

3.2 Incidence of Self-Employment

190

3.3 Usual Working Hours

191

3.4 Wages and Union Membership

191

4 Why Did EU10 Workers Come to the UK?

192

4.1 Job Satisfaction

193

4.2 Life Satisfaction

196

4.3 Macro-Economy

199

4.4 Propensity to Move Abroad

199

5 What Impact Have EU10 Workers Had on the UK Labor Market?

202

6 Will the Flow of EU10 Workers to the UK Continue in the Future?

208

7 Conclusions

212

References

214

Part III: The Impact of Migration on Source Labor Markets

216

9. Impact of the Post-Accession Migration on the Polish Labor Market

217

1 Introduction

218

2 EU Enlargement and Migration from Poland

218

2.1 Scale and Dynamics of Recent Migration from Poland

220

2.2 Structural Features of Polish Migration in the Pre- and Post-Accession Period

224

3 Impacts of Migration on the Polish Labor Market

235

4 Conclusions

247

References

250

10. The Post-Enlargement Migration Experience in the Baltic Labor Markets

252

1 Introduction

253

2 Data

255

3 Intensity and Main Destinations of the Post-Enlargement Migration

257

4 Human Capital of the Migrants

263

5 Labor Market Outcomes

270

6 Length of Stay Abroad, Return Migration and Labor Market Transitions

279

7 Migration Impact on the Baltic Labor Markets and Economies

283

8 Demographics of the Baltic Migration

287

9 Remittances and Use of Foreign Earnings

292

10 Conclusions

295

References

298

11. The Case of Albania

302

1 Documenting the Importance

303

2 Push and Pull Factors

303

3 Patterns and Outliers

304

4 Estimates of Migrant Outflows, Return Flows and Stock Abroad over Time

305

5 Estimates of Remittances

308

6 Data Sources Used in Previous Studies

309

7 Composition of Migrants

312

8 Potential Migration

320

9 Impacts of Migration

321

10 Analysis, Trends and Policy Recommendations

326

References

329

Editors and Authors

332

Index

340