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The International Constraints on Regime Changes - How Globalization Hinders the Prospects for Democratization
Ersin Oezsahin
Verlag VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften (GWV), 2010
ISBN 9783531922546 , 204 Seiten
Format PDF, OL
Kopierschutz Wasserzeichen
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Contents
6
List of Figures
8
List of Tables
10
1 Introduction
11
1.1 The focus of this book
11
1.2 The puzzle of the directions of transitions
18
1.3 Past research
24
1.4 The theoretical synthesis
35
2 The economic constraints on regime changes – notes towards a coherent formalization
39
2.1 The structure of the argument
39
2.2 Preferences over institutions
46
2.3 Economic structure, sources of economic distortions, and integration into world markets
49
2.4 Summarizing the argument
57
3 Modeling transition
60
3.1 The focus of this chapter
60
3.2 The economy
61
3.3 The transition game
66
3.3.1 The basic set up
66
3.3.2 The sequential equilibria of the transition game
73
3.3.3 The comparative static
79
3.4 Implications
83
4 Research design
89
4.1 The Structure of this chapter
89
4.2 The operationalization of institutional alterations
89
4.3 Independent variables
97
4.4 The estimation technique: the ordered logistic regression model
110
5 Results
116
5.1 Measuring institutional alterations: dichotomous vs. rank ordered measures
116
5.2 Results of the ordered logistic regression model: first insights
121
5.3 The effect of integration on the prospects of democratization
132
5.4 Scrutinizing distinct regime types
144
5.5 Summarizing the findings
149
6 Conclusion
154
Appendix
162
References
186
Articles & Books
186
Data sources
198
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