Regional Forecasting on Labour Markets

Foreword

Contents

List of Figures

List of Tables

I Introduction

II Local and Sub-regional medium-term skills forecasting in the UK

1 Introduction

2 Local Forecasting Needs and Problems

3 The Philosophy Behind LEFM

4 The Structure of LEFM

5 Detailed Methodology

6 Some Examples of the Application of LEFM

7 Conclusions

References

Appendix A: Details of Data Generation Process

III Regional Labour Market Forecasts in the Netherlands

1 Introduction

2 The national model of occupational and educational demand

3 From national to regional level

4 Use of the Data: RATIO II

5 Prospects and Outlook

References

IV Forecasting System for the Development of Employment and Qualifications in the Metropolitan Region Frankfurt/Rhine-Main

1 Introduction

2 Concept

3 Forecasting the labour demand

4 Forecasting the regional labour supply

5 Outlook

References

V Regional Employment Forecasts with Spatial Interdependencies

1 Introduction

2 Data and Regional Variation in Employment in Germany

3 Applied Forecast Methodology

4 Results and Discussion

5 Conclusion

References

VI Forecasting Regional Employment by Time-Series Modeling

1 Introduction

2 Methodology

3 Regional Employment Development 2001 - 2010

4 Forecast Errors

References

VII A Two-Step Approach for Regional Medium-Term Skill Needs Fore-casting

1 Introduction

2 A Two-Step Approach for Regional Medium-Term Skill Needs Forecasting

VIII Evolving Occupations, an Approach at the Heart of the Futurefor French Regions

1 The observatory’s approach to regional analysis and prospects

2 Examples of results obtained

3 Use of prospective approaches in the technical and institutional running

IX AMS-Skills Barometer – Austria’s Target Group oriented Labour Market Information System

1 Background Information

2 Methodology and Basic Structure

3 Regional Forecasts in the AMS-Skills Barometer

4 Further Developments concerning the AMS-Skills Barometer

X The Systems for the Early Identification of Skills Needs in Ireland

1 Introduction

2 The Institutional Framework.

3 Methodologies for collecting and analysing data.

4 The Outputs from the System

5 Other Outputs from the National Skills Database

6 The Role of Sectoral Studies in the System

7 Conclusions

XI Outlook

XII About the Authors

XIII Abstract