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Financial Liberalization in Developing Countries - Issues, Time Series Analyses and Policy Implications

Abdullahi Dahir Ahmed, Sardar M. N. Islam

 

Verlag Physica-Verlag, 2009

ISBN 9783790821680 , 298 Seiten

Format PDF, OL

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149,79 EUR


 

185544_1_En_FM1_OnlinePDF.pdf

1

185544_1_En_1_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

13

Chapter 1: Introduction

13

Contemporary Issues in Finance

13

Financial Repression

13

Financial Liberalization

14

Financial Crisis and Financial Contagion

14

International Capital Mobility/Capital Control

15

Financial Liberalization: Opposing Views

17

Approaches to Financial Liberalization

18

Financial Liberalization and Country Experience in Africa and Asia

19

Benefits of Financial Liberalization: An Empirical Issue

22

The Objectives of this Book

23

Methodology

24

Time Series Financial Econometrics

25

Cost Benefit Analysis

25

Contribution of this Book

25

The Structure of the Book

27

185544_1_En_2_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

29

Chapter 2: Background, Structure and Financial Reforms

29

2.1 Introduction

29

2.2 The Case of Kenya

32

2.2.1 The Structure of the Financial System

34

2.2.2 Agricultural Sector and Other Policies Framework

39

2.2.3 Liberalization and the Era of Structural Adjustments

43

2.3 The Case of Malawi

45

2.3.1 Structure of the Financial System

50

2.3.2 Agricultural Sector and Other Policies Framework

54

2.4 The Case of Botswana

59

2.4.1 Structural Developments of the Financial System

64

2.4.2 Supplementing Role of Foreign Aid in Botswana: The Two-Gap Model

70

2.4.3 Trends and Policies in Agriculture and other Sectors

73

2.5 The Thai Financial System

78

2.6 Conclusion

79

185544_1_En_3_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

80

Chapter 3: Literature Review

80

3.1 Introduction

80

3.2 Financial Development and Economic Development

82

3.3 Financial Liberalization

85

3.3.1 Financial Liberalization in Sub-Saharan Africa

94

3.3.2 The Thai Case

98

3.4 Conclusion

100

185544_1_En_4_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

102

Chapter 4: The Theory of Financial Liberalization and its Economic Impact: An Assessment

102

4.1 Financial Liberalization

102

4.1.1 A Brief Theoretical Assessment

102

4.1.2 Observations from the Case Study

109

4.2 Contrasts Between the Theory and Country Performance

111

4.2.1 Introduction

111

4.2.2 Economic Impact of the Recent Financial Reforms: Kenya

112

4.2.3 Malawi

132

4.2.4 Botswana

140

4.3 Conclusion

150

Appendix

151

185544_1_En_5_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

152

Chapter 5: An Analysis of the Economic Outcome of Financial Liberalization1

152

5.1 Introduction

152

5.2 A Simple Model of Imperfect Competition and Interest Rate Spread

153

5.2.1 Liberalization: Market Determined Outcome

155

5.2.2 Financial Repression

157

5.2.3 The Level of Fixed Costs as a Barrier to Entry

163

5.2.4 Graph of Fixed Costs and New Entry

166

5.2.5 Dynamics of how much the Interest Rate goes up after Liberalization

171

5.3 Financial Reforms and Absence of Entry by New Foreign Banks

173

5.4 Conclusion

179

Appendix A 5.1: Deriving the Market Equilibrium Condition for Loan Equation

180

Appendix A 5.2: Deriving the Fixed Cost Lines for Medium and Lower Regions at $${\mathop {{\bar r\,^c}}\ }$$

182

Appendix A 5.3: Maximal Points for C and D Curves

183

185544_1_En_6_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

185

Chapter 6: Testing the Potential Impact of Economic Changes on Savings in African Countries

185

6.1 Introduction

185

6.2 Econometric Research on the Effect of Various Financial Conditionings

186

6.3 Reforms and Savings Mobilization: Comparative Analysis

187

6.3.1 Measures of Financial Liberalization

197

6.3.2 Basic Theory and other Specifications

199

6.4 The Macroeconometric Model

200

6.4.1 VECM Set-up

202

6.5 Data and an Analysis of Econometric Results

204

6.6 Impacts of Market Liberalization on the Macroeconomy and Growth

216

6.6.1 Hypothetical scenario for Kenya and Malawi

222

6.7 Conclusion

226

Appendix

227

185544_1_En_7_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

230

Chapter 7: Welfare Implications of Financial Liberalization in Thailand: A Cost-Benefit Analysis

230

Introduction

230

Financial Liberalization and its Implications in Thailand

231

Welfare Economics Framework: Social Choice and Cost Benefit Analysis of Globalization and Financial Liberalization

232

Costs and Benefits of Financial Liberalization (and Financial Crisis): Illustrative Numerical Estimation of the Costs and Bene

235

Financial Benefits

235

Financial Costs

236

Methodology, Numerical Estimates and Data Sources

236

Welfare Implications of Economic Growth

240

Conclusions

242

Appendix 1 General DataData drawn from previous work of the authors (see Clarke, M. and Islam, S. (2004), Economic Growth and

242

Appendix 2 Cost Benefit Data

246

185544_1_En_8_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

257

Chapter Chapter 8: Summary, Findings and Conclusion

257

Background and Motivation

257

The Summary and Empirical Results

258

Policy and Institutional Implications

260

185544_1_En_BM2_Chapter_OnlinePDF.pdf

262

Appendix

262

1 Movement from Repression to Liberalization

262

: Index

300

: Bibliography

284