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Future Perspectives of 2nd Generation Biofuels

Rainer Zah, Claudia Binder, Stefan Bringezu et al.

 

Verlag vdf Hochschulverlag AG, 2010

ISBN 9783728133496 , 329 Seiten

Format PDF, OL

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Table of Contents

4

SUMMARY

14

ZUSAMMENFASSUNG

16

RESUME

18

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

20

Context

20

Goal and Scope

21

Elements

22

Value chains

22

Scenarios

23

Sustainability Potential Analysis (SPA)

23

Feedstocks for 2nd generation biofuels

26

2nd generation value chains

29

The potential of 2nd generation biofuels for Switzerland

33

Challenges and Risks of 2nd generation biofuels

35

Recommendations

37

1 INTRODUCTION

42

2 GOAL AND SCOPE

46

2.1 Goal

46

2.2 Examined elements

48

3 METHODS

52

3.1 Conceptual framework

52

3.2 Sustainability Potential Analysis (SPA)

53

Infrastructure requirements Infrastructure requirements Infrastructure requirements Infrastructure requirements Infrastructure requirements

67

3.3 Weighting

98

3.4 Uncertainty assessment

101

3.5 Scenario analysis

103

3.6 Structural Agent Analysis

122

4 RESULTS

128

4.1 Assessment of Elements

128

4.2 Assessment of value chains

177

4.3 Assessment of scenarios

192

5 SPOTLIGHTS

216

5.1 Future availability of cropland for biofuels ( H. Schü tz & S. Bringezu)

216

5.2 Land Use Impacts of Jatropha in Brazil A Case Study ( J. Baka and R. Bailis21)

219

5.3 Agrofuels and water a growing conflict? ( R. Menkveld)

223

5.4 2nd generation biofuels and biodiversity ( R. Zah)

227

5.5 Fuels from algae (A. Fahrni & R. Zah)

230

5.6 Biofuels and developing countries ( S. Gmü nder & B. Portner)

235

5.7 Agent analysis of biofuels ( A. Schmid & C. Binder)

243

5.8 Acceptence of 2nd generation biofuels ( L. Diethelm, C. Binder, A. Schmid)

262

6 DISCUSSION

274

6.1 What are the most relevant feedstocks, technologies and use types?

274

6.2 Which will be the relevant value chains?

275

6.3 How do 2nd generation biofuels compare to 1st generation and to electric mobility?

276

6.4 How big is the potential for 2nd generation biofuels in Switzerland?

276

6.5 The role of 2nd generation biofuels in future energy scenarios

277

7 RECOMMENDATIONS

280

8 REFERENCES

288

9 LIST OF FIGURES

302

10 LIST OF TABLES

308

11 ANNEX

312

11.1 Additional information FKVs

312

11.2 Scenarios

321