The International Constraints on Regime Changes - How Globalization Hinders the Prospects for Democratization

Contents

List of Figures

List of Tables

1 Introduction

1.1 The focus of this book

1.2 The puzzle of the directions of transitions

1.3 Past research

1.4 The theoretical synthesis

2 The economic constraints on regime changes – notes towards a coherent formalization

2.1 The structure of the argument

2.2 Preferences over institutions

2.3 Economic structure, sources of economic distortions, and integration into world markets

2.4 Summarizing the argument

3 Modeling transition

3.1 The focus of this chapter

3.2 The economy

3.3 The transition game

3.3.1 The basic set up

3.3.2 The sequential equilibria of the transition game

3.3.3 The comparative static

3.4 Implications

4 Research design

4.1 The Structure of this chapter

4.2 The operationalization of institutional alterations

4.3 Independent variables

4.4 The estimation technique: the ordered logistic regression model

5 Results

5.1 Measuring institutional alterations: dichotomous vs. rank ordered measures

5.2 Results of the ordered logistic regression model: first insights

5.3 The effect of integration on the prospects of democratization

5.4 Scrutinizing distinct regime types

5.5 Summarizing the findings

6 Conclusion

Appendix

References

Articles & Books

Data sources